George Bush and the CCP’s Doctrine of Pre-Emption
A Guest Post from Ivan
A CCP cadre once told me that the Party “believes in prevention rather than cure.” And I replied, “so does George Bush. Isn’t that what the doctrine of pre-emptive war means?”
Personally I believe ALL uses of pre-emptive force are immoral and impractical, because it is unscientific to presume that any mortal men enjoy any magical powers of predicting the distant future. However, George Bush and the CCP – who in my opinion are both superstitious entities in their respective ways – believe otherwise.
Regarding the Communist tradition of presuming the ability to forsee the distant future – and its correlative arrogation of the power to prevent any perceived “threats to stability” – consider just one example, just one of the millions of fraudulent show-trials which took place under the Communist regimes of Russia and its lesser partner, Mao’s China: the trial of Laszlo Rajk in Hungary in 1949, and then a cutting commentary by one of the witnesses.
Rajk was a Hungarian Communist, who assumed the office of Foreign Secretary after the Soviet Army conquered Hungary in 1945. However, Stalin tolerated no rivals – not even perceived rivals – even in his new imperial satellites in Eastern Europe. Therefore, Stalin appointed his own virtual viceroy, Rakosi, to rule the new Communist Hungary, and Rakosi proceeded – with the aid of the Russian secret police and their Hungarian servants – to arrest any and all PERCEIVED rivals for power in Hungary, including those who were lifelong Communists.
Consequently, Rajk was arrested and tortured in 1949, and at his show-trial he confessed to having been an agent of “hostile Western elements” and of Trotsky, and he was shot to death.
Now, the key point about all this, is that some time after Rajk’s trial, another (former) Hungarian Communist, G. Schoepflin, who witnessed it all, wrote:
To talk about Rajk’s conspiracy is ridiculous. The (Communist) leaders saw in Rajk, not a conspiracy, but a POTENTIAL leader of an EVENTUAL opposition in the future. Therefore he had to be annihilated.
Thus, in that light, I have several question, most especially for any of our CCP readers here:
1. What evidence is there, that ANY person or party has any ability to predict what other people will do in the distant future? I call this a superstition, but I’m open to being proven wrong.
2. IF you believe that some people are able to look into the distant future and predict potential harm, then is George Bush justified in his doctrine of “pre-emptive war?”
3. If George Bush is NOT justified in his doctrine of “pre-emptive war”, then is the CCP justified in arresting people who have done no actual harm, on the grounds of “preventing potential harm?”
3.a: And please keep this issue separate from the issue of domestic versus international affairs – because IF Saddam ever attacked America, it would have become an internal affair of America. My questions, rather, are about the presumed ability of any humans to look into the future, and then their arrogation of the power to take “preventive measures” against events which do not pose any immediate threat.
Richard Burger is the author of Behind the Red Door: Sex in China, an exploration of China's sexual revolution and its clash with traditional Chinese values.