The Taipei Times has reported today that the mayor of Taipei, Hau Lung-bin (KMT), has threatened to refuse ballots to anyone who does not follow a “two-stage” voting process, where individuals take a ballot for the legislative election, casts it and then must return for ballot papers concerning two referenda.
Taipei Mayor Hau Lung-bin (éƒé¾æ–Œ) reiterated his government’s determination to follow the two-step voting procedure for the Jan. 12 poll yesterday and warned that voters who refused to follow the procedure would not be given ballots. The Central Election Commission (CEC) decided last Friday to use a one-step voting process, in which voters would receive the ballots for the legislative elections and two referendums together at the entrance to polling stations.
The 18 pan-blue-governed cities and counties, however, have said they will employ a two-step voting process. “Anyone who fails to follow the two-step voting procedure, including the president and all other politicians, will not be given ballots. They will give up their right to vote,” Hau said.
One referendum was proposed by the KMT, giving voters the opportunity to express their opinions about fighting corruption. The one more likely to pass, sponsored by the DPP, is intended to force the KMT to return its illegally obtained assets to the State, which it amassed whilst in government.
Early on all the main parties had lobbied the CEC to organise the election in terms they saw more favourable. The KMT and PFP wanted the referenda ballots to be handed out later so that turnout on the proposals would be lower, hopefully meaning the DPP one would not pass (their’s was generally a ploy to counter-act the support for the other). The DPP and TSU wanted all the ballots to be handed out at the same time to increase turnout so that hopefully their’s would pass. In the end the CEC found in favour of the DPP and TSU, stating all ballots would be handed out at the same time in order to protect voter privacy (if people returned for a referendum ballot it was argued party officials would know how they voted, as opponents are encouraged to boycott the referenda so that the turnout doesn’t exceed the minimum level).
The Pan-Blue cities and counties reacted that actually they could hold the elections as they pleased anyway and would use the two-stage format. This was a rather empty argument, as if that were the case there would have been no point in petitioning the CEC in the first place - unless they had wanted to force the Pan-Green areas to accept a two-stage format as well. By trying to turn the CEC to their position the Pan-Blue camp acknowledged its authority in the matter.
However, the mayor of Taipei has shot the Pan-Blues in the foot. Previously, they may have got away with the disagreement over voting format. With no way to actively force local election officials to use the one-stage format, the CEC could only warn them that they may face prosecution or have their funds cut - the KMT promised to make up the shortfall themselves (doubtlessly out of their own ill-gotten funds). But by now refusing to let people vote if they won’t follow the two-stage format, Hau (and anyone else who followed him) would be causing a serious electoral crime in denying people their right to vote. Not only could he face criminal prosecution if he made good on his threat, but I think the CEC would refuse to verify the results from the areas where voters were not given their ballot papers. There was always the possibility of this if people were simply not given their referenda ballots and they asked for them, but if they can’t vote in the main election there’s no way the CEC would let that stand.
As a result, at the very least the results for the affected constituencies would not be allowed to stand and the CEC would probably insist on another round of elections for those locations. At worst, the whole election would have to be held again and the Pan-Blues would be held responsible. Not giving out referenda ballots is one thing, but depriving people of their right to vote would not go down well with most Taiwanese.
And for what? Even if the DPP referendum passes it won’t necessarily result in a new law - the legislative would still need to agree on something. If the Pan Blues controlled it they could block it - if the Pan Greens won the election they’d bring the law in even if the referendum failed. Also, I don’t believe that receiving referenda ballots at the same time as the legislative ballots will change the vote - most people know how they will vote before they arrive at the ballot station, as otherwise they’d stay at home. The only way the referenda can affect the election is by influencing people before they go to the polling station. So in many ways the Pan Blues’ refusal to comply with the CEC can only hurt them. They won’t benefit in any real way even if the referenda fail, and they can only hurt their image by so brazenly trying to push their own agenda.
Sometimes you don’t get your way - the KMT and PFP need to learn that they can’t win every time. They didn’t accept that in 2004 when they lost the Presidential election, and they don’t appear to have learnt that now. Hopefully, if they lose the Presidential vote next year, they’ll do some soul-searching and learn how to trust the people to make the right choice - implying voters are too stupid to know what to do with a handful of ballot papers (when in the past they managed with five different votes in one go) won’t win them support. Otherwise they’ll stay in Opposition for the foreseeable future.
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