Comments on: Another poll http://www.pekingduck.org/2004/07/another-poll/ A peculiar hybrid of personal journal, dilettantish punditry, pseudo-philosophy and much more, from an Accidental Expat who has made his way from Hong Kong to Beijing to Taipei and finally back to Beijing for reasons that are still not entirely clear to him... Sun, 19 May 2013 05:44:07 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.4.1 By: richard http://www.pekingduck.org/2004/07/another-poll/comment-page-1/#comment-6454 richard Tue, 03 Aug 2004 15:27:56 +0000 http://localhost/tpd/?p=1446#comment-6454 Nevertheless, the polls show if the election were held today Kerry would win. For an incumbent president so late in the ball game, this is very bad news. And remember, swing voters always vote disproportionately for the new guy. They are undecided because they aren't impressed with the incumbent. They will not be voting so much for Kerry as they be voting against bush. But their reasoning doesn't matter -- it's still Kerry who stands to benefit, whether they like him or not. Nevertheless, the polls show if the election were held today Kerry would win. For an incumbent president so late in the ball game, this is very bad news. And remember, swing voters always vote disproportionately for the new guy. They are undecided because they aren’t impressed with the incumbent. They will not be voting so much for Kerry as they be voting against bush. But their reasoning doesn’t matter — it’s still Kerry who stands to benefit, whether they like him or not.

]]> By: Jim http://www.pekingduck.org/2004/07/another-poll/comment-page-1/#comment-6453 Jim Tue, 03 Aug 2004 15:18:26 +0000 http://localhost/tpd/?p=1446#comment-6453 DEWEY DEFEATS TRUMAN. Latest CNN/Fox/Drudge/etc poll results!!! The trouble with the polls this election is that there are people who will tell you they do not like Bush and Kerry is much more appealing - but they will vote for Bush. DEWEY DEFEATS TRUMAN. Latest CNN/Fox/Drudge/etc poll results!!!

The trouble with the polls this election is that there are people who will tell you they do not like Bush and Kerry is much more appealing – but they will vote for Bush.

]]> By: richard http://www.pekingduck.org/2004/07/another-poll/comment-page-1/#comment-6452 richard Mon, 02 Aug 2004 17:31:43 +0000 http://localhost/tpd/?p=1446#comment-6452 I thin it's the same bounce bush will get -- it's too consolidated for anyone to have a big bounce. I predicted 4-5 poinbts; 3's pretty good under these very tight ciorcumstances. I thin it’s the same bounce bush will get — it’s too consolidated for anyone to have a big bounce. I predicted 4-5 poinbts; 3′s pretty good under these very tight ciorcumstances.

]]> By: Peter Nolan http://www.pekingduck.org/2004/07/another-poll/comment-page-1/#comment-6451 Peter Nolan Mon, 02 Aug 2004 17:19:40 +0000 http://localhost/tpd/?p=1446#comment-6451 I kinda liked that slogan "Re-elect Al Gore", but it's sadly irrelevant. Am I the only one noticing the Iowa handicaps on the race? The lead's about 3% as of c.o.b. Monday. http://128.255.244.60/graphs/graph_Pres04_WTA.cfm I kinda liked that slogan “Re-elect Al Gore”, but it’s sadly irrelevant.

Am I the only one noticing the Iowa handicaps on the race? The lead’s about 3% as of c.o.b. Monday.

http://128.255.244.60/graphs/graph_Pres04_WTA.cfm

]]> By: Conrad http://www.pekingduck.org/2004/07/another-poll/comment-page-1/#comment-6450 Conrad Sun, 01 Aug 2004 22:56:15 +0000 http://localhost/tpd/?p=1446#comment-6450 Yep, he's gonna whip his ass. Just like Al Gore did. Yep, he’s gonna whip his ass. Just like Al Gore did.

]]> By: richard http://www.pekingduck.org/2004/07/another-poll/comment-page-1/#comment-6449 richard Sun, 01 Aug 2004 19:17:44 +0000 http://localhost/tpd/?p=1446#comment-6449 LGF is also reporting that all Muslims are terrorists and that John Kerry is the anitchrist -- so what do you expect. As I said, Bush will get his own bounce in September, then the debates should seal things. I believe bush, who literally cannot deal with the pressureof your ordinary press conference, will be smashed to bits by Kerry, a real debater and famously fast thinker. But as I also say, let's not set the bar for bush too low. He more than held his own against Gore and he does know how to stay on-message, so we mustn't let our guard down or presume it's smooth sailing for kerry. LGF is also reporting that all Muslims are terrorists and that John Kerry is the anitchrist — so what do you expect. As I said, Bush will get his own bounce in September, then the debates should seal things. I believe bush, who literally cannot deal with the pressureof your ordinary press conference, will be smashed to bits by Kerry, a real debater and famously fast thinker. But as I also say, let’s not set the bar for bush too low. He more than held his own against Gore and he does know how to stay on-message, so we mustn’t let our guard down or presume it’s smooth sailing for kerry.

]]> By: jeremy http://www.pekingduck.org/2004/07/another-poll/comment-page-1/#comment-6448 jeremy Sun, 01 Aug 2004 18:26:02 +0000 http://localhost/tpd/?p=1446#comment-6448 Ack. I only hope that the polling translates into votes in November. It's sorta funny, though, since LGF is reporting the exact opposite polls :-D Ack. I only hope that the polling translates into votes in November.

It’s sorta funny, though, since LGF is reporting the exact opposite polls :-D

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